2017 National Championships Seeding Predictions: Mixed Division

We project the pools at Nationals.

Khalif El-Salaam of Mixtape (right) and Brian Stout of BFG. Photo: Scott Houghtaling — UltiPhotos.com

Here are Ultiworld’s seeding predictions (and associated pools) for the Mixed Division at the 2017 USA Ultimate National Championships:

POOL APOOL BPOOL CPOOL D
Mixtape (1)AMP (2)Drag'N Thrust (3)BFG (4)
Mischief (8)Blackbird (7)Wild Card (6)Slow White (5)
NOISE (12)Toro (11)shame. (10)Steamboat (9)
Public Enemy (13)Metro North (14)Love Tractor (15)No Touching! (16)

Here is the basic reasoning for the seedings presented above, based heavily on the latest USA Ultimate rankings that include postseason performance so far:

1. Seattle Mixtape – Clear #1 seed. #1 ranked team. Over 50 points clear of AMP. 2-1 v. AMP.

2. Philadelphia AMP – Clear #2 seed. 90 points ahead over #3 Slow White. H2H wins over Slow and Drag’N.

3. Minneapolis Drag’N Thrust – H2H wins over both Slow White and BFG. Ranked #4 but only 13 points behind #3 Slow White.

4. Seattle BFG – H2H win over Slow White. Champion at Pro-Elite and Elite-Select. Ranked #5 but only 18 points behind Slow White.

5. Boston Slow White – Could be wrong about moving them down two spots from their #3 ranking, but it seems difficult to justify seeding them above Drag’N or BFG given their similar resumes and their H2H results.

6. Boston Wild Card – Ranked #6. Finished behind Slow White at NE Regionals. 2-0 H2H record vs. Slow won’t come into play.

7. San Francisco Blackbird – Ranked #8, but have H2H win in SW Regional final over #7 Mischief. 27 points behind Mischief in rankings.

8. San Francisco Mischief – Although Regionals results are no longer binding, this seems like an obvious swap of the rankings.

9. Cincinnati Steamboat – Ranked #10. H2H win over #9 shame. Only 3 rankings points behind shame (negligible difference).

10. Fort Collins shame. – Ranked #9. Despite finishing behind Public Enemy at Regionals, substantial ratings gap should see shame seeded higher.

11. Durham Toro – Ranked #12 (#11 Alloy did not qualify). Very little connectivity with Nationals field.

12. Madison NOISE – Ranked #14. Big H2H win (13-6) over Public Enemy.

13. Dallas Public Enemy – Ranked #13. Would be shocked if they ended up seeded ahead of shame, whom they beat at Regionals.

14. Connecticut Metro North – Clear #14 seed. Ranked #15.

15. Boulder Love Tractor – Clear #15 seed. Ranked #16.

16. Minneapolis No Touching! – Clear #16 seed. Ranked #27.

***

Discussion

  • The ordering of Drag’N, BFG, and Slow at #3-5 is going to be interesting. Slow is the highest ranked team but has losses to both of the teams below them. I think it is pretty clear that Drag’N will go ahead of them. The order of BFG and Slow, then, doesn’t really matter, as they would be in the same pool.
  • Otherwise, I think the seedings are fairly clear. A few swaps (Blackbird/Mischief…Steamboat/shame…NOISE/Public Enemy) for clear H2H results.
  • Theoretically, it could be interesting to see what happens with shame and Public Enemy, but I think the big ratings gap and USAU’s reliance on rankings means there won’t be much to see there.
  1. Charlie Eisenhood

    Charlie Eisenhood is the editor-in-chief of Ultiworld. You can reach him by email (charlie@ultiworld.com) or on Twitter (@ceisenhood).

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